Policy at the Brink of Catastrophe: The Failure of Conventional Models in Analyzing Existential Stress
A Case Study of Iran–U.S. Relations Abstract This paper proposes an analytical framework termed “Politics at the Brink of Catastrophe,” designed to address a fundamental gap in mainstream policy analysis:…
The Rhythm of Rivalry: Timing and Legitimacy in Iran–US Relations
Recurring Iran–US confrontations function as pressure-release mechanisms, resetting credibility and preventing deeper instability in an enduring rivalry. Recurring confrontations between Iran and the United States are frequently interpreted as failures…
Beyond Oil and Arms: Saudi Arabia’s Diplomatic Pivot in Regional Power Dynamics
Saudi Arabia is becoming the Middle East’s central stabilising actor, embedding itself into the region and US' security and economic architecture, not as a client but as an indispensable structural…
Middle Powers in Motion: Strategic Timing and Regional Influence Across the Global South
Middle powers are becoming decisive actors in a fragmented global order defined by US-China rivalry and shifting alliances. Their influence now depends less on size or strength than on timing,…